Fundamental Trading Diary

Fundamental analysis of the capital markets

About

My Fundamental Trading Diary is a place to collect and record my thoughts about security pricing in the global capital markets.  I am a participant of futures (mainly index) and stock markets, but I closely follow bond, option and currency markets.

From plenty of anecdotal evidence, I believe liquid capital markets to be mostly efficient, and that beating them requires looking for different time frames than what the markets are currently focused on.

My technique for determining future security prices is to examine what is priced into the market, and find situations where that information is not relevant in the term I am trading in.

Who am I?  I’m a software engineer out of Buffalo, NY. I’m married, and have a dog.

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